NCAA Tournament March Madness

#247 Long Beach St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Long Beach State’s résumé is built around a handful of useful home wins and a gritty road victory at CS Bakersfield but it is undermined by blowout defeats at Iowa State, San Diego State and Fresno State that negate much of the nonconference glow. Close losses to Pacific, Illinois State, Montana State and UC Santa Barbara show the team can hang with respectable opposition, yet the inability to win consistently away from home and a steady string of conference setbacks leave the profile light on the kind of quality road or neutral-site victories the committee prizes. Because the committee rewards true road success and signature wins, Long Beach State’s path to the bracket realistically runs through the automatic qualifier. Remaining trips to Hawaii offer a clear chance to add the sort of road wins that would change that calculus, but until those opportunities are seized the heavy nonconference losses and conference slide explain why an at-large case looks shaky.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@San Diego St46L77-45
11/8@Fresno St126L82-62
11/12@Pacific113L69-66
11/16Illinois St104L82-80
11/21Montana St131L78-72
11/26@Portland191L93-73
11/30San Diego225W76-72
12/4@UC Santa Barbara128L84-77
12/6UC San Diego114L80-74
12/9@San Jose St232L89-83
12/18Pepperdine265W81-78
12/21@Iowa St8L91-60
1/3Cal Poly218W74-66
1/8@UC Irvine110L74-64
1/10CS Bakersfield322W81-75
1/15UC Riverside263W88-73
1/17@CS Northridge167W87-80
1/22@CS Fullerton171L71-61
1/24UC Santa Barbara128L74-71
1/29@UC Riverside263L71-61
1/31Hawaii106L89-82
2/5@UC San Diego114L77-74
2/12CS Fullerton171L86-82
2/14@UC Davis152L71-54
2/19UC Irvine110L69-58
2/21CS Northridge167L78-76
2/26@Cal Poly218L102-92
2/28@CS Bakersfield322W88-87
3/5UC Davis152L76-70
3/7@Hawaii10614%
3/8@Hawaii10614%